Hollywood loves movies about showbiz, and Alejandro Inarritu‘s funny, visually novel and quite original “Birdman” is justifiably lauded for its excellence in direction/tech and acting. So look to see that film win for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Cinematography, and possibly for Best Actor (for Michael Keaton’s brilliant performance AND his body of work).
Still, I’m thinking it’s more likely that Eddie Redmayne will win for his impressive feat as Stephen Hawking in “The Theory of Everything.” Because, you know, it’s a “serious” biopic and Hawking is played by a Brit. And Brits win many of the big acting Oscars.
The cumulative effect of Richard Linklater‘s beautiful, unusual “Boyhood” — seeing a boy played by the same actor grow from child to adult, and his family members age, too, in what feels like real time over the course of a few hours — indeed was emotionally engaging, and it was the first feature film to notch that accomplishment. So it COULD take Best Picture and Best Director, but my guess is that Patricia Arquette‘s naturalistic turn as the protagonist’s long-suffering mom will result in the movie’s only major win, for Best Supporting Actress.
Best Actress: Julianne Moore, as an Alzheimer’s patient in the moving but not entirely satisfying “Still Alice,” deserves the win, and will get it, in part for a career’s worth of great work.
Best Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons will win for his towering performance in “Whiplash” as the scariest band director in history.
Best Original Screenplay: Wes Anderson’s quirky, wildly inventive screenplay for his “The Grand Budapest Hotel” deserves it and will win it, I think. The film will win for Production Design, too, and probably Costume Design.
Adapted Screenplay: “The Imitation Game” deserves/gets the win.
Editing: What feat could beat the artfully-stitching-together-12-years-of-footage accomplishment of “Boyhood”?
Visual Effects: “Interstellar” deserves it and, I think, will win.
Foreign film: Probably “Ida.”
Documentary: Probably “Citizenfour”
Score: Probably Johann Johannsson, for “The Theory of Everything”; AMPAS wrongly denied Antonio Sanchez a nom for “Birdman,” IMO.
Upset potential: If anything, the commercial juggernaut “American Sniper” could force a surprise or two.
Stay tuned.



A movie that gained acclaim at the recent Berlin Film Festival, a tribute to late filmmaker Hal Ashby, and a retrospective of films documenting the work of artists Christo and Jeanne-Claude are among the highlights of the 11th annual
directorial debut of Oren Moverman, best known for his work on the screenplays of Todd Haynes’ sort-of biographical Bob Dylan movie I’m Not There (2007), and Alison Maclean’s Jesus’ Son (1999).
the officers (Foster) falls for the widow of a fallen officer.
hoping to gain parts in the Broadway revival of “A Chorus Line.” It was co-directed by Adam Del Deo and James D. Stern, who also worked together on …So Goes the Nation (2006) and The Year of the Yao (2004).
Ashby: Mind of a Hollywood Rebel.”
The cast of the film, scheduled for a limited U.S. opening on June 19, also includes Evan Rachel Wood, Patricia Clarkson, Kristen Johnston and Ed Begley Jr.
Bad movies deserve a little love, or faux love, too. That’s the motivation behind
Nice touches for this year’s Oscars, including insightful and sometimes touching introductions of this year’s acting nominees by notable past winners; a terrific musical sequence featuring A.R. Rahman, John Legend and the Soweto Gospel Choir; and a Busby Berkeley-style dance sequence, capped with Jackman’s shout, “The musical is back!” (well, not quite).
Best picture: Slumdog Millionaire
The Reader, nominated for Best Picture, Best Actress (Kate Winslet) and five other Academy Awards, essentially is an examination of how a nation, Germany, chooses to deal with the sins of its past.
Mark Weitzman, head of The Simon Wiesenthal Centre, said “Essentially it takes a woman who serves in, is responsible for, is complicit in, you pick the words, in the deaths of at least 300 Jews – and her big secret shame is that she’s illiterate.”
UPDATE: Assante will be on hand for the screening of the Romanian-made
Wrote J. Hoberman, in the